Some good rain…and a “blown forecast”

Ventura County is now at about 200% of normal rainfall for this time of year, twenty inches in our immediate area, which is wonderful, but, as Emily Green and others have pointed out, comes nowhere near the 1 to 1.5 inches of rain an hour predicted for Wednesday of last week. 

In Green's post, forecaster extraordinaire Bill Patzert calls it a "blown forecast," but sympathizes with the National Weather Service. As Yogi Berra famously said:

It's not easy to make predictions, especially about the future.

But the funny thing is, although these storms came in nowhere near what the NWS warned, and were nothing like the "war" mentioned in posts below, no one seems to care. We're all too grateful.

Thank God for the rain. It's lovely to see the streams running again, to hear a few frogs beginning to croak at night, to feel the softness of the ground beneath our feet, and smell the richness of the earth. 

I'll leave it at that…with a picture, for those who might miss the often-soft winters of SoCal….

IMG_4465

6 thoughts on “Some good rain…and a “blown forecast”

  1. Hey Kit,

    We got a hair shy of a foot of rain last week at 1850′ on Koenigstein.

    By the way, this is the first morning for a little while that I’ve been able to cross over Sisar Creek without getting my feet wet.

    Like

  2. Wow…a foot of rain. Impressive — and welcome.

    And yes, Rob, you know I’ve never seen that waterfall, which is supposed to be just awesome after a good rain…maybe this will be the year.

    Like

  3. And yes, Rob, you know I’ve never seen that waterfall, which is supposed to be just awesome after a good rain…maybe this will be the year.

    God showers there. It doesn’t even need a big rain. Mid-summer with just a trickle the ferns drip and the drops sparkle and… Go. Just go.

    Like

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