Jay Roberts, an experienced St. Louis pol, tells Off the Bus:
"We’re going to be one of the top four-to-six battlegrounds and at
the end of the day, we’re going to go blue and take back a state that
has historically been Democratic — and that includes sweeping a new
Democratic governor, Jay Nixon, into office. This race isn’t just about
taking over the White House; it’s a change election all the way around,
including changing the electoral map of the country," said Roberts.
Roberts, who also works in real estate, is raising $50,000 for Obama. So, obviously, he has a stake in what he is saying.
But he also has a fact on his side.
Look at the numbers from the spectacularly helpful site FiveThirtyEight:
In January, a poll in Missouri by Research 2K found Obama at +5.
In March, after the Wright scandal broke, polls by Rasmussen and SurveyUSA found Obama sunk and McCain up +15.
In late May and early June these same pollsters now find Obama up by just about +1.
This would be meaningless, except that the momentum is clear…he has put Wright behind him.