Battle of the Pollsters

People say we shouldn’t pay attention to the polls, but in an election like this one, how can a guy resist?

Gallup

on June 16: Obama 46 — McCain 42.

FiveThirtyEight

projection for November on June 16:  Obama 51.5 — McCain 48.5 Obama wins 305 electoral votes. Landslide ahead. 

Pollster.com

Their conglomeration of polls shows Obama at 47.2 and McCain at 41.5 but more interesting than Obama’s bounce, as Ezra Klein points out, is McCain’s dip:
 

It’s not Obama’s bounce that’s interesting. You’d expect that after he
won the primary. Its McCain’s dip. In other words, Obama isn’t just
getting independents and undecideds. He’s pulling support away from
McCain. This may show Clinton supporters who were naming McCain on
general election match-ups with Obama are coming back, or it could mean
McCain is just losing support as voters hear more about him.

It’s looking great for Obama — today.

June15poll

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