This fall experts, including the Forest Service, were predicting a strong La Niña condition likely to produce a dry winter, with heat and Santa Ana winds.
The oceanic pattern developed, but the prediction?
Bzzzttt! Wrong. Here in Ventura County, we're at roughtly 150% of normal, and got pounded by about six inches of rain over the weekend, stranding literally dozens of hikers, including both a Sierra Club outing and a Boy Scouts outing, in the backcountry, requiring rescue. More rain is expected this week.
Leader of the forecasting pack Bill Patzert admits: the predictions were a bust.
I have a rain gauge, but my old wheelbarrow makes the point more impressively…