Tag Archives: forecasts

NASA vs. NOAA: battle of the winter forecast charts

The headline exaggerates, of course, but doesn't in fact mislead. Here's a graph of a NASA climate model, depicting a forecast of precipitation in the U.S. for the next winter. Colors tell the story.  In truth, it's a little hard to decode the anomalies chart, but this turns out to be just one of eightContinue reading “NASA vs. NOAA: battle of the winter forecast charts”

If It Looks like an El Nino, and Feels Like an El Nino…

,,,maybe it is an El Nino. After an unexpected and totally welcome 6.59 inches a couple of weeks ago, the air has been clear, soft, windless and warm…we hit a 97 a week ago, and yesterday 84. The data also look convincing: Here's a graph of warmth spreading along the equator across the Pacific, fromContinue reading “If It Looks like an El Nino, and Feels Like an El Nino…”