Listen (a poem about a dog, by Miller Williams)

Listen 

I threw a snowball across the backyard. 
My dog ran after it to bring it back. 
It broke as it fell, scattering snow over snow. 
She stood confused, seeing and smelling nothing. 
She searched in widening circles until I called her. 

She looked at me and said as clearly in silence
as if she had spoken, 
I know it's here, I'll find it, 
went back to the center and started the circles again. 

I called her two more times before she came
slowly, stopping once to look back. 

That was this morning. I'm sure that she's forgotten. 
I've had some trouble putting it out of my mind.

From the simply inimitable Miller Williams, who passed away on the first day of 2015.

I love that "she said as clearly in silence as if she had spoken." Don't believe that could have been better written. Believe that Williams listened as well as any American writer to the unheard voices — human and otherwise — all around us. 

even death can be beautiful under the heartless stars

A whitebark pine at Crater Lake. Photo and commentary below by TJ Thorne of the Guardian:

Deadtreeatcraterlake

This is the second image from my two week long artist-in-residency appointment at Crater Lake National Park in October of 2014. The whitebark pines, such that you see in the photo, are one of the more astounding features of the park. Gnarled, twisted masses of wood centuries old. They've withstood weather extremes, intense winds, storms, droughts, you name it. The trees have stood strong and are some of the only species of pine that can survive the sub-alpine, rocky volcanic soil environment that is their home.

But they're dying. And not just a few here.. a few there. They're dying by the acre. In fact.. more than half of the whitebark pines in Crater Lake National Park are either dead or in the process of dying due to infestation by western pine beetles. The beetles have always been around, generally thriving in lower elevation forests, which are much more resistant to the infestations. However, with warmer and shorter winters, the beetles have been moving to higher elevations and persisting through the winter season. They attack these pines, which do not have the ability to defend themselves. In addition, the hotter, longer, and drier summers deprive these trees of the sap producing water they need to help their defense. It's one of the most 'in your face' effects of climate change within the park.

I can't help but think about this tree's future. It's an iconic tree in the park and one of my favorite features, and here it is, finally succombing to the environment that we have given it. These trees provide food, shelter, and survival for numerous other species, yet we have failed it's own survival. How much the park will change in the long-term by the death of these trees is still an unknown, but it will certainly continue to change the face of the park. Thanks for reading.

A really dumb reason not to believe in climate change

From Congressman Jeff Miller of Florida, who doesn't believe in climate change, and somehow thinks this has something to do with the dinosaurs. Via a year-end wrap-up of dumbness by Steve Brodner at GQ:

Dumbquotes

Yes, he really does believe that humans can't cause climate change, because the dinosaurs went extinct. Go figure. 

Charles Krauthammer, skeptic, now calls taking action on global warming “prudential”

To deny climate change in 2015 puts any thinking person in a distinct minority in this country. 

According to a Pew Research poll published this time last year, 67% of adults believe that our atmosphere has been warming in recent years. That comes out to 84% of Democrats and 46% of Republicans. 

So when last year veteran Washington-Post columnist Charles Krauthammer wrote a skeptical column about global warming, his viciousness could not be overlooked. He didn't just question the White House for for taking action to reduce the harms of climate change. He tore apart the very concept of taking action, as utter folly

First he claimed — in so many words — that the climate wasn't warming. 

"Global temperatures have been flat for 16 years — a curious time [for the White House] to unveil a grand, hugely costly, socially disruptive anti-warming program."

This is the the familiar claim of climate change skeptics that warming has paused or stopped since the super-hot El Nino year of l997-l998. This ignores a 130-year trend of global warming, but nevermind.

What's happening lately?

GlobaltemperatureJMA

 

Yep. You can see. We hit an all-time high. How then does Krauthammer respond?

Well, in today's column, Krauthammer calls for a substantial gas tax of a $1 per gallon, to be rebated to taxpayers. Note that he would not put any of the tax windfall towards infrastructure, even though experts argue that the federal gas tax as it works today isn't even able to keep up with the damage to roads and bridges caused by traffic. Nor would he apply any sort of income test to the rebate. 

But six months ago? He would have done nothing — nothing but call Barack Obama a "flat-earther."

It’s flat-earthers like Obama who refuse to acknowledge the problematic nature of contradictory data. It’s flat-earthers like Obama who cite a recent Alaskan heat wave — a freak event in one place at one time — as presumptive evidence of planetary climate change. It’s flat-earthers like Obama who cite perennial phenomena such as droughts as cosmic retribution for environmental sinfulness."

Now, on the day when we learned definitively that last year will prove to be the hottest year in recorded history, Charles Krauthammer calls for a gas tax, in part to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. 

"[this will] lower consumption [which] reduces pollution and greenhouse gases. The reduction of traditional pollutants, though relatively minor, is an undeniable gain. And even for global warming skeptics, there’s no reason not to welcome a benign measure that induces prudential reductions in CO2 emissions."

So action has gone from "folly" to "prudential" in six months flat!

Yet Krauthammer still indicates he's a skeptic.

Bizarre. Climate change skepticism must be getting down to the bitter-enders, if even they now start to agree something should be done about it.  

Economists: Put a price on carbon. Now.

Energy experts, such as the International Energy Agency, conservative thinkers, such as David Frum, conservative economists (such as Greg Mankiw, formerly of the Bush administration) and now Lawrence Summers, formerly Barack Obama's Secretary of the Treasurer, all agree — put a price on carbon. 

That is, raise the tax at the pump from 18 cents a gallon, where it's been for over twenty years.  

Van der Hoeven of the IEA, in response to questions, stated the logic most directly::

Q: Falling oil prices have been like a tax break for consumers, but you want to raise gasoline taxes now. Why?

A: We are not a climate agency . . . but what I really do hope is that these low oil prices will be used by policymakers as an opportunity to cut down fuel subsidies in those countries (such as Indonesia, Malaysia and Thailand) that do have them. Whether it is a carbon tax or you do it in a different way . . . put a price on carbon. Because now with the low prices, the economy won't be hurt, or will be less hurt, than in any other time so use that opportunity.

David Frum, a conservative, formerly a speechwriter for Geroge W. Bush, now a senior editor at Atlantic, backed the Pigovian concept of taking an activity that to balance out its costs to society. Long before climate became an issue, for instance, there was a tax on gas to maintain the roads. 

Lawrence Summers, formerly Secretary of the Treasury for President Obama, endorsed this idea yesterday. In the Financial Times he wrote:

When we drive our cars, heat our homes or use fossil fuels in more indirect ways, all of us create these costs without paying for them. It follows that we overuse these fuels. This is not some kind of government planning argument — it is the logic of the market: that which is not paid for is overused. Even if the government had no need or use for revenue, it could make the economy function better by levying carbon taxes and rebating the revenues to society.

The logic is simple: the political will, however, well —

 

How to make classic movies not sexist: McSweeney’s

This was one of the top ten columns on McSweeney's often hilarious Internet Tendencies site in 2014.

Classic Movies changed to not be sexist

My faves:

Gone With The Wind

Rhett kisses and grabs at Scarlett against her will. Scarlett informs Rhett that though they are married, she still has autonomy over her body and has the right to refuse sex. The pair ascend the staircase in thoughtful conversation, and Rhett wakes up the next morning glowing with newfound feminist awareness.

(and)

A Streetcar Named Desire

Stanley has spent the film waging psychological warfare against Blanche, who has called him a brute and an animal. In the film’s climax, he tells her how insulted and objectified he has felt and firmly asks her to leave his house.

As the comedians often say — it's funny because it's true! How could classic movies deal with romance if we didn't see men who violently kiss women, and women who respond? Hard to imagine, isn't it? 

Speaking of…earlier this year, the New York Review of Books published a mediation on The Outsider Art of Tennessee Williams that included a darling picture of him and Marlon Brando: It's too good to forget.

Tennandmarlon

The unsayable: Rilke (snow in the desert)

Give thanks to Kurt Harvey, for sharing this photo of mountains near Tucson this new year to Google+'s California and Western Landscapes community , and for the words that follow from Rilke:

Tucson finger rock snow cr1 1400 copy

Things aren't all so tangible and sayable as people would usually have us believe; most experiences are unsayable, they happen in a space that no word has ever entered, and more unsayable than all other things are works of art, those mysterious existences, whose life endures beside our own small, transitory life

 ~Rainer Maria Rilke

Wild: What if I was never redeemed?

If Wild, the book, the movie, the world-wide phenomena, had no other virtue, the story would deserve praise for the sheer volume of reaction and thought that it has inspired.

If Wild, the book, the movie, the world-wide phenomena, had no other virtue, the story would deserve praise for the sheer volume of reaction and thought that it has inspired. Not just on hiking, but on feminism, on wilderness, on relationships: previously unknown author Cheryl Strayed hit a chord nearly everybody recognized but nobody had ever heard sounded quite that way before  

The influential review of the book, by Dwight Garner in the NYTImes, from just two years ago, is at once respectful, but also a confession, in that the reviewer makes clear that he has been, as Shakespeare would say, overthrown. Wild broke his heart, as we say in our time, and tears came to his eyes, and what can a reviewer say after that? 

But not because Strayed put her life at risk, or had an insanely dangerous time outdoors.  

The author was not chewed on by bears, plucked dangling from the edge of a pit, buried by an avalanche or made witness to the rapture. No dingo ate anyone’s baby. Yet everything happened. The clarity of Ms. Strayed’s prose, and thus of her person, makes her story, in its quiet way, nearly as riveting an adventure narrative as Jon Krakauer’s two “Into” books: those matey fraternal twins, “Into the Wild” and “Into Thin Air.”

Screenwriter Nick Hornby read this review, ordered the book, and set out to adapt it — even before getting the assignment, though he knew as little about hiking as Strayed did when she set out. 

I felt I understood the book. It wasn't about hiking, not to me. It was about grief, families, ambition, rage, disappointment and hope, and it was written with an urban liberal-arts sensibility that succeeded in placing anyone with the same set of values right there on the trail with Cheryl, screwed up, unprepared, determined to succeed in her ambition simply because there are no viable alternatives anywhere else.

But why was Strayed's story so riveting? After all, thousands of people have hiked the Pacific Crest Trail. Nearly everybody a person meets thru-hiking the trail is on a quest, as occasional trail companion Chris Nottoli likes to say. 

What's so special about Strayed? 

Surely the best overall — and longest! — attempt to answer this question comes from Kathryn Schulz for New York magazine. Interestingly, she frames the question much as Garner does — at first:

People love to read about outdoor extremis and debacle, à la Into Thin Air, but books about nature in which nothing goes terribly wrong do not normally attract millions of fans. Moreover, there is a kernel of genuine radicalism in Wild — and radicalism, by definition, does not appeal to the mainstream. Outside of slave narratives and horror fiction, adult American literature contains very few accounts of a woman alone in the woods. YetWild is the story of a woman who voluntarily takes leave of society and sustains herself outdoors, without the protection of a man, or, for that matter, of mankind. It is the story of a woman who does something physically demanding day after day, of her own free will, and succeeds at it. It is the story of a working-class woman and her mind — of what Strayed thought about in the three months she spent almost entirely alone. And it is a story that ends happily in the near-total absence of that conventional prerequisite for happy endings, romantic love.

That phrase "near-total" stuck in my craw a bit, because the movie does conclude with a mention — if not the in-person sight — of a romantic love. To make sure Schulz was right about this interpretation I looked up the conclusion in the book, and what do you know, it's just about word for word. Strayed does mention returning to the Bridge of the Gods, where she concluded her trip, to marry a new man. 

But Schulz's point — that this was a woman's story that has to do with self-discovery, and not about being discovered — remains central to the story. As she says:

In a ­culture with profoundly ambivalent feelings about independent women, it is not always clear what kind of adventures we will be lauded for undertaking, nor what kind of tales we will be lauded for telling. So why did so many people fall in love with Strayed and her story?

I asked Strayed myself a similar question, when she spoke at UC Santa Barbara a couple of years ago, hoping privately that she would say something about how her story arrived at a moment when as a people we were falling back in love with the wild and the trail. Or were at least open to stories about that, as we as a culture had not been in either of the boom times of the 80's or 90's. Sez me. 

Strayed did not. In a polite but firm way she spoke of the writing itself, and of the publishing team that gave the book the best possible launch. Which wasn't what I wanted to hear, but statistics cited in a recent LA Times op-ed appear to bear our her point: 

Visits to the 58 crown jewels of the National Park System — nature-based parks such as Acadia, the Grand Canyon and Yosemite — peaked in 1997, and, per capita, had declined 19% by 2010. Some who work in state and national parks have expressed deep concern to me about how school kids show up on field trips not so much eager to play, or excited to learn, but unsettled by whatever ferocious creatures might be lurking in the bushes. As stated in a news release last summer by the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, “Getting [today's] visitors to reweigh perceived threats is an art.”

(It's been four years since those stats were published, and I like to think that the tide has turned towards respect for wilderness. Certainly I see people on mountain trails — particularly women, many not young — that I didn't see when I was hiking Sierra trails twenty years ago.)

But Schulz would agree with Strayed. She points out that Strayed's story — in which she has to lose everything, and start over — has a myth's power. 

Strayed sets out on her journey after the loss of her mother (and husband, stepfather, father, and childhood home)… It is as if only the total destruction of the domestic sphere could justify a woman’s presence on such adventures. Or rather — since Strayed’s story is not fabricated — it is as if that destruction were necessary in order to secure the audience’s sympathy for a woman doing something risky and alone.

As a literary device, the destruction of the home front silences these concerns. But it has another advantage: It is universally familiar — not from stories about independent women but from stories about independent children. In real life, the death of a parent is an agonizing loss. But in fiction, that death, while nominally tragic, often marks the beginning of an adventure; it gives the hero the freedom, and sometimes the motive, to go explore an unfamiliar land. Mowgli in the jungle, Bambi in the forest, Huck on his raft, Dorothy in Oz: For any of these adventures to transpire, the parents must first be made to vanish. 

Further, as Schulz says, and Reese Witherspoon, who became the heroine of the tale in the movie seconds, this is a classic American story, in that it is about a woman who had nothing, no money, and sitll and found something, in this world and in herself. Witherspoon told the LA Times:

And it was really important that it wasn't about, like, white-girl problems, you know? I told her that so many people in this world have nothing, and that's what I really responded to, that you get to the end of this movie and this woman has nothing. She has no man and no money and no parents and no job, and it's a happy ending. And that's extraordinary in this life because so many people don't know where to turn or what resources are going to lift them up out of their grief or their despair, and she did this for herself with nothing. And I felt like it could be inspirational to other people.

Which it clearly was. Thank you Reese Witherspoon, and thank you Cheryl Strayed. Especially for these concluding words:

What if I forgave myself? I thought. What if I forgave myself even though I'd done something I shouldn't have? What if I was a liar and a cheat and there was no excuse for what I'd done other than becuase it was what I wanted and needed to do? What if I was sorry, but if I could go back in time I wouldn't do anything differently than I had done? … What if what made me do all those things everyone thought I shouldn't have done was what I wanted and needed to do? What if I was sorry, but if I could go back in time I wouldn't do anything differently than I had done? … What if what made me do all those things everyone thought I shouldn't have done was what also had got me here? What if I was never redeemed? What if I already was? 

WildPCTimage

 

NYTimes: What is killing the forests of the world?

The biggest and most horrifying story I stumbled across at the AGU involves forest mortality, as mentioned in this 2012 story in the NYTimes: Los Alamos National Laboratory studies tree deaths

It's good on the technical aspects, and really helped me understand the mechanism of "hydraulic failure" — how heat can not just challenge, but kill trees. The story doesn't want to be the last word on the subject, perhaps to its credit. It helps us understand the details: 

To monitor how trees might succumb to thirst, researchers are measuring water flow inside each trunk. Normally ropes of water molecules are pulled up from the soil and roots by the atmosphere, moving through very small channels called xylem. When the air is warm, it exerts a greater pull on the water, increasing tension. If the tension gets high, the rope breaks and air is introduced. Like an embolism that can kill a person, air bubbles can block the flow of water. A tree can dry out and die.

It's helpful but I must say,it's not what the researcher in question, Nate McDowell, said at the at the AGU a couple of weeks ago. He framed it differently: as forest mortality. 

In which case, the Times' approach almost literally misses the forest (mass mortality) for the trees (how individual trees succumb to climactic conditions). 

In any case, talking to McDowell at the AGU, I mentioned that I was walking the Pacific Crest trail and had seen one burned out forest after another walking north through Southern California. Many huge fires have hit the trail before and after I have been walking just these past two years. Just weeks after myself and Chris Nottoli passed through the San Jacinto Mountains they were hit with a major fire, the Mountain fire, that consumed over 30k acres of pines near Idyllwild,and forced a long difficult roadwalk detour for those coming on the trail post-June 2013.  

In Section C, I encountered another large area –more than 16k acres – of burned forest to the east and north of Big Bear Lake. Huge pines. Big Bear Fire. 2007. Took a full day or more to walk through the dead and twisted trees and scorched earth.

In Section D, coming down from the San Gabriel Mountains and turning north towards Agua Dulce, I had to walk through the vast scar left by the Station Fire of 2009, which burned over 160k acres and filled the sky with the life of thousands upon thousands of trees. 

Then in Section E about thirty miles of trail north of Green Valley were completely destroyed by the Powerhouse Fire. A ranger told me that the soil itself had been changed by the extreme heat of the blaze. The trail had simply vanished. 

Joe Anderson, who with his wife Terry takes care of hundreds of hikers passing through the trail near his town of Green Valley, told me that one hiker who did go through the burn emerged entirely blackened below his shoulders after walking through miles and miles of chaparral and pinyon pine turned to charcoal. 

"It's like that the whole length of the trail, all the way up to Canada," said Nate McDowell, a couple of weeks ago, in the press room at the AGU. 

I don't want to be alarmist, but McDowell and his friend and fellow scientist Craig Allen believe that the forests of the Southwest are doomed. They have a date in mind, for when they will have died off.  

2045-2050. 

[for those curious about the mechanism of this catastrophe, the hypotheses and the studies, I've put some resources below the fold.]

Here's the study from 2010 referenced above, and a paragraph that adds a new detail to the explanation of what happens when a pinyon pine or a juniper — both species long accustomed to the droughts of the Southwest — are challenged by heat and drought. 

In addition to hydraulic failure and carbon starvation, a third
physiological mechanism predisposing plants to mortality may
exist—cellular metabolism limitation. This hypothesis suggests that
low tissue water potentials during drought may constrain cell
metabolism (Wu¨ rth et al., 2005; Ryan et al., 2006; Sala and Hoch,
2009), thereby preventing the production and translocation of
carbohydrates, resins, and other secondarymetabolites necessary for
plant defense against biotic attack. The common observation that
trees which succumb to insect attacks have weak resin flow and are
unable to pitch out attacking insects is consistent with constraints on
photosynthetic carbon uptake, cellular carbon metabolism, and/or
treewater relations.A likely sequence formany isohydric species that
is consistent with Manion’s cascade (Manion, 1991) is that climatestressed
trees starve for carbon, perhaps due to poor edaphic position
combinedwithdrought,which causespoor resinflow and an inability
to defend against insect attack, which subsequently allows fungi that
are symbiotic with the beetles to colonize and occlude the sapwood,
causing transpiration to cease, drying of the canopy, and eventual
mortality (McDowell et al., 2008, 2009).

In a 2009 paper, Allen and McDowell identified the same three factors in tree/forest mortality, but did not put a date on the forests' demise: https://www.fort.usgs.gov/sites/default/files/products/publications/22659/22659.pdf

Here's a paper by Park Williams of Lamont-Doherty, another researcher into this question, who offers a quantitaive stab at measuring the stress of drought on forests, and also graphs Vapor Pressure Deficit for these forests over time. Temperature as a potent driver of region forest drought stress and mortality 

Expect to add to these resources over time: hope to write about this crisis and these forests. I've only just discovered pinyon pine — I can't bear to see it go away from my backyard so soon!