How Barack Can Reach Out to Disaffected White Males

Simple: Talk to Merle Haggard. Charm the SOB, just a little. He’s waiting to be asked. Back when Barack was duking it out with Hillary for the Democratic nomination, Joe Klein for Time interviewed the country music legend (here). Klein argues, with justification, that Haggard has his "guitar hardwired to the gutbucket pulse of MiddleContinue reading “How Barack Can Reach Out to Disaffected White Males”

Obama as a Community Organizer: Left v. Right

Now that a former community organizer is running for the White House, reporters from both the right (Byron York, from the National Review) and, arguably, the left (the Boston Globe) have visited his former stomping grounds in Chicago, and reported on what folks there think about Barack Obama. It’s a case of the dog thatContinue reading “Obama as a Community Organizer: Left v. Right”

Ventura Pollster: Obama to Win, Landslide Possible

That’s my headline — the editor had a different version, unfortunately
unsupported by what pollster George Barna actually said. Sigh.
Headlines are so often where newspapers go wrong.

Nonetheless, the story itself (here) is well worth reading. Here’s the crux (highly technical journalism term). I’ll post the rest of the story, without the paper’s headline, below the fold.

“Americans sense that something has gone astray in our political
sphere,” he said. “One of the conclusions widely drawn — especially by
younger voters, — is that attacking one’s opponent more and more
viciously as the campaign progresses, or the farther behind a candidate
falls in the polls is a show of self-interest, not national interest.
Add to that the existing perception that McCain represents the old,
tired politics of Beltway insiders, and you get a public that is not
particularly interested in hearing the old man criticize the younger
man, the white man question the integrity of the black man, or the
career politician challenge the newcomer.”

Barna is a mild-mannered man with
graying hair, and he doesn’t speak in colorful quotes, but the pollster
all but pounds the table on this point.

“People are already
concerned that McCain represents the old way of doing business,” he
said. “They don’t want the next president to be a mud-slinger. They
want him to stay above the fray. They’re worried about the future.”

And here’s the invaluable Supertracker composite of polls via FiveThirtyEight (here). You’ll note that the trend (the red line) is above statistician Nate Silver’s projection, which means the race should tighten, but it’s still looking very good for Obama right now.

July4thsupertracker

Rove Describes Barack — Or Does He?

Quote of the Day: Karl Rove was impressed with Barack Obama when he first met him. But now he sees him as a “coolly arrogant” elitist. This was Rove’s take on Obama to Republicans at the Capitol Hill Club Monday, according to Christianne Klein of ABC News: “Even if you never met him, you knowContinue reading “Rove Describes Barack — Or Does He?”

The Psychology of “the Mindset” that Got Us into the War in Iraq

As brilliantly defined by Prof. Andrew Bacevich, of The American Conservative: The Iraq War represents the ultimate manifestation of the American expectation that the exercise of power abroad offers a corrective to whatever ailments afflict us at home. Rather than setting our own house in order, we insist on the world accommodating itself to ourContinue reading “The Psychology of “the Mindset” that Got Us into the War in Iraq”

The End of 9/11 Politics?

Fortune: Mr. McCain, what do you think is the single greatest economic threat to the United States? McCain at first says nothing. He sits in the corner of a sofa, one black, tasseled loafer propped against a coffee table. We’re in the presidential suite on the 41st floor of the New York Hilton. McCain hasContinue reading “The End of 9/11 Politics?”

Obama on Ethanol: Supports Corn, Taxes Sugar Cane

For an enviro-type, it’s difficult if not impossible to support Barack Obama when he claims we should be giving ample taxpayer support to growing corn for ethanol, but should not allow Brazil to sell its sugar cane ethanol in this country free of tariff….even though sugar cane ethanol is a far more efficient fuel. That’sContinue reading “Obama on Ethanol: Supports Corn, Taxes Sugar Cane”

Battle of the Pollsters

People say we shouldn’t pay attention to the polls, but in an election like this one, how can a guy resist? Gallup on June 16: Obama 46 — McCain 42. FiveThirtyEight projection for November on June 16:  Obama 51.5 — McCain 48.5 Obama wins 305 electoral votes. Landslide ahead.  Pollster.com Their conglomeration of polls showsContinue reading “Battle of the Pollsters”

The High Road to the White House: Why It Works

Today a couple of interesting data points came together on why taking the high road to the White House (inspiring voters with principle) is more likely to result in victory than the low road ("going negative"). First, from a recent Pew poll (here): For Obama, one of the most striking positives in the survey isContinue reading “The High Road to the White House: Why It Works”